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Showing posts with label Dany Heatley. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Dany Heatley. Show all posts

Monday, July 7, 2008

Ottawa needs to win a trade

From Don Brennan of the Ottawa Sun:

Ottawa, it appears now, will be in the mix with Tampa, Carolina, Buffalo, Florida, the Islanders and the Thrashers for the eighth spot.

To improve the Senators' chances of making the playoffs, their Murray needs to recreate some magic. He needs to win a trade.

For the Senators to have a shot at winning the Stanley Cup, he needs to reach out and touch another Mike Milbury.

Read the entire article here.

Brennan points out the lack of depth on the Senators' roster; so, precisely how is the team going to make a trade if it lacks the necessary depth to do so?

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Wednesday, March 19, 2008

Taking a Look at Shootout Stats

Here is a dandy breakaway goal from last night scored by Penguins' agitator Jarkko Ruutu.


Who would have thought that Ruutu could pull such moves on a breakaway?

Since the skills required to score on a breakaway, are similar to the skills required to score on a shootout (being 1 on 1 with the goalie), watching this goal triggered memories of Ruutu scoring some nice goals in a shootout. I decided to take a look into Ruutu's stats.

Before I begin, let me ask you a question. Your team has a crucial game on the line and needs someone to score in the shootout. You look down the bench and see the following players: Jarkko Ruutu, Evegni Malkin, Jaromir Jagr, Trevor Linden, Dany Heatley, Erik Christensen. Without thinking you may pick Malkin, Jagr and Heatley. But look more into the stats.

Jarkko Ruutu: 3 for 6 this season and 6 for 12 in his career (50%).

Compare him to some of the leagues top goal scorers:

Evegni Malkin: 0 for 5 this season; 3 for 17 in his career (17.6%).
Jaromir Jagr: 0 for 5 this season; 5 for 22 in his career (22.7%).
Dany Heatley: 0 for 4 this season; 3 for 16 in his career (18.8%).

Players who are not known to score goals:

Trevor Linden: 5 for 9 this season; 7 for 12 in his career (58.3%).
Erik Christensen 6 for 11 this season; 14 for 25 in his career (56%).

Erik Christensen should definitely be shooting, as he fits into the Jussi Jokinen (17 for 29 58.6% career) mold of a player who consistently performs above average in the shootout but less than average in game (purely based on points scored). (Coincidentally, both players were traded at the deadline, which says something about their value to teams)

Hypothetically if all these players were on the same team, and they were in a shootout to determine a playoff berth. Would you put the game on the shoulders of your star players (Malkin, Jagr, Heatley), or let scrappy players like Ruutu and Linden shoot?

I could see some coaches having a difficult time putting in Ruutu or Linden over a Heatley or Malkin. But the stats say otherwise.

For Illegal Curve, I'm Michael Remis.

All stats provided by NHL.com

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Monday, February 11, 2008

Sens/Canes Trade Analysis

To Carolina:
Patrick Eaves
07-08 Salary: $900,000
RFA next season

Joe Corvo
07-08 Salary: $2.5 mil
08-09 Salary: $2.75 mil
09-10 Salary: $2.75 mil

Carolina finally gets the true powerplay quarterback they have been looking for in Corvo, after employing a forward on the point (sometimes even two forwards) throughout the majority of the season. The initial idea was that Frantisek Kaberle would be the powerplay quarterback, but after struggling out of the gate recovering from off-season surgery, it became apparent that Carolina truly needed a number one defenceman to run the troops with the man advantage. Corvo’s booming shot, accurate outlet pass, and quick feet will surely be a boon to the Canes offense. After a promising rookie campaign, Eaves has had injury troubles the past two seasons. Not known for his aggressive style of play, Eaves is a talented winger with offensive potential who couldn’t really find a comfortable spot in the Sens’ lineup. Projected 2nd line winger.

To Ottawa:
Cory Stillman
07-08 Salary: $1.75 mil
UFA next season


Mike Commodore
07-08 Salary: $1.3 mil
UFA next season

Conversely, the Sens are shedding a good chunk of salary for the next two years, in bidding adieu to Corvo. The Sens will miss his heavy shot from the point, and it surely does shake up their powerplay. The likely result will either be Meszaros or Schubert being paired with Redden on the #1 unit, or Alfredsson filling the void on the point from time to time (a scary thought thinking back to Pominville walking around Alfredsson to score the series clinching goal for the Sabres two years ago). Another possibility may be to put Heatley back on the point, but with his skating being weaker than Alfredsson’s, this doesn’t seem too likely. The thought is that defenceman Brian Lee will be ready for some primetime action next season on the blueline. Acquiring Stillman is a great move, and will give coach Paddock some more options if he wants to break up Alfredsson from Heatley and Spezza come playoff time. According to GM Bryan Murray, Stillman is slated to play with second line centre Mike Fisher. Not known to be too aggressive in the corners to say the least, let’s hope that Stillman’s 34 year-old body holds up. In Commodore, the Sens acquire a physical blueliner with playoff experience winning the Cup with Canes and reaching the finals with Calgary in 2004. Known for having a cult following with his crazy hair and bathrobe, Commodore will fit in nicely as a depth defenceman on the Sens.

The Result:

To quote legendary GM Sam Pollock, the team who gets the best player wins a trade. If that is true, then the Sens are the winners in this deal. Looking more closely, the departure of Corvo will create an offense hole on the Sens’ blueline, but one that can be fixed with a quick shuffle of powerplay duties. What can’t be overlooked is the $2.5 mil vacancy created on the team’s payroll over the next two seasons. Although the Sens likely won’t re-sign Stillman after next season, he will hopefully provide some leadership and Cup experience this year, coupled with a secondary scoring option. Depending on how Eaves progresses over the years, the Sens appear to have won this deal for the short term.


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Friday, February 8, 2008

NHL Morning Papers (Friday Edition)

Here are the national morning papers:

Here are the Eastern Conference morning papers:

Here are the Western Conference morning papers:

For Illegal Curve, I'm Richard Pollock.

Email any thoughts, ideas or suggestions to illegalcurve@gmail.com

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Wednesday, February 6, 2008

News You Can Use Late in the Day

1. Damien Cox with his list of 5 teams that have surprised him this year.
2. Celine Dion Phaneuf has signed a 6 year extension with the Calgary Flames, guaranteeing that they will boast the ugliest man in hockey until 2013.
3. Dany Heatley is expected to return to the Senators lineup on Thursday.
4. Peter Forsberg and his one good ankle reject offers from the Stars, Wings and Flames. Look for him to hop on over to the Senators.
5. Nathan Gerbe is a contender for the Hobey Baker, according to INCH.
6. Bob McKenzie dispels any myths that Marian Hossa is heading for Montreal.
7. Fabian Brunstrom and a couple of Linus' headline the top Swedish free agents. Good grief.
8. Adam Schwartz breaks down 5 successful trades that brought in role players.
9. The NHL Insider takes a look at Roberto Luongo and Tomas Vokoun.
10. A recap of all things NHL for the week that was.
11. A look around the CHL from Sportsnet.
12. Taking Note gives us a summary of the WHL Board of Governors meetings, which included a suggestion of a salary cap for off-ice employees.
13. BlackAthlete.net says that hockey doesn't need a "Tiger Woods" type player.
14. Proving that the end may be nigh, Mike Brophy makes sense.
15. Lincoln Stars forward Ryan Kretzer is making the most of his opportunity.
16. Sean Avery and Marek Malik exchange blows (thats what she said) at Rangers practice. Maybe Malik stole some of Avery's fashion mags.
17. Fanhouse hearts George Parros' mustache.
18. Check out this series of posts by Kerry Goulet, detailing his trip through Russia.
19. Allan Muir of SI thinks that the late season additions to the Ducks could do more harm than good.
20. John Buccigross asks NFL fans to give the NHL a shot.
21. The new European hockey league is one step closer to fruition.
22. Interesting article about the possibility of hockey returning to Baltimore.
23. Kyle Wellwood's career is in freefall.
24. Despite trading their captain and starting goalie, the London Knights just keep winning.
25. An exhibit of Maurice Richard items will be making its way to Newfoundland and Labrador.

Ballhype: hype it up!

Wednesday, November 28, 2007

News You Can Use Late in the Day

1. Gary Bettman says the NHL may pass on the 2014 Olympics, since they are being held in Russia.
2. Fernando Pisani is close to returning to the Oilers, but Ethan Moreau is still out for the time-being.
3. Sean Avery will undergo wrist surgery after attempting to fit his entire hand into his mouth.
4. Ilya Bryzgalov has been a prime beneficiary of this move to the desert.
5. A profile on Peterborough's Zach Bogosian.
6. Chuck Kobasew has effectively filled the void created by Patrice Bergeron's injury.
7. Eddie Belfour's Swedish team is 18-1-1.
8. Inside College Hockey tracks the Hobey Baker favorites.
9. The Flyers have signed Braybon Coburn to a contract extension.
10. The NHL has visions of expanding the Chinese hockey market.
11. David Shoalts feels that MLSE must been unanimous when choosing the next GM.
12. George Johnson of ESPN with his picks for the NHL Awards.
13. Fanhouse notes that Jordan Staal is successfully demonstrating the sophomore jinx.
14. Chuck Gormley with an interesting story about the perils of the internet for professional hockey players.
15. Allan Muir of SI gives his contenders for the NHL Awards.
16. Kris Draper of the Red Wings is out for 10 days.
17. Dany Heatley answers readers' questions.
18. The Calgary Flames say they are tired of moral victories.
19. New details emerge about the death of Bob Gainey's daughter.
20. The NY Post discusses the Red Wings' PP.
21. Darren McCarty still hopes to return to the NHL.
22. The Leafs arethisclose to touching bottom.
23. The Blackhawks will welcome Martin Havlat back to the lineup tonight vs. the Bolts.
24. The New York Rangers have renounced their team option on Jagr for the 2008-09 Season.
25. 10 Tips from the NHL to the NFL to increase scoring.

For Illegal Curve, I'm Kyle Kosior

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Thursday, October 4, 2007

Fantasy Watch: Last Night's Recap

F Saku Koivu, Montreal Canadiens
2 G, 15:37 TOI, 4 SOG

Koivu had a great debut last night notching the game winner. Owners should expect a steady output of power play points from Koivu, as Montreal's powerplay unit was tops in the league last year.

D Andrei Markov, Montreal Canadiens
2 A, 21:15 TOI, 1 SOG

Markov is picking up right where he left off, assisting on two goals in Montreal's 3-2 OT win over Carolina. Although none of his assists came on the powerplay, owners should not be discouraged as there will be several opportunities for Montreal's top defenseman.

F Dany Heatley, Ottawa Senators
2 G, 1 A, 24:38 TOI, 4 SOG

After signing a contract extension earlier in the day, Heatley came out firing, tying the game up in the 3rd period and sealing a victory with his goal in OT. As long as Heatley is paired with Spezza and Alfredsson, another 100+ point season should be easily attainable.

F Paul Stastny, Colorado Avalanche
3 G, 16:40 TOI, +3, 4 SOG

Quickly putting to rest any talk of a sophomore slump, Stastny scored a hattrick on Wednesday, leading the Avs to 4-3 victory over Dallas. Although Stastny is on the second scoring line, there should be no shortage of opportunities for the second year player.

F Andrew Brunette, Colorado Avalanche
3 A, 16:43 TOI +2, 1 SOG

After getting bumped from the first line, many thought Brunette would return to his usual 60 point self. Following Wednesday's game that may not be the case as Brunette set up all three of Stastny's goals. Although their won't be the same opportunities as there would playing Sakic, Brunette owners can breath a sigh of relief knowing he has linemates that can get it done.


Honorable Mention:
F Henrik Zetterberg, Detroit Red Wings
F Todd Bertuzzi, Anaheim Ducks
F Jaroslav Hlinka, Colorado Avalanche



For Illegal Curve, Im Jonny Remis

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Wednesday, October 3, 2007

Opening Night

The NHL season officially opened tonight, and it was an exciting one. Three of the games went to overtime and one game was within a goal. Hockey's back baby!

New visitors: This is last nights news post. This morning's Morning Musings can be found here.


In the news

Can I Get a Recap?


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Heatley Signs with Sens

TSN reports that Dany Heatley has signed a six year contract extension with the Ottawa Senators. It is believed that Heatley will received between $7.5 and $8 million per year.

Great move for the Sens, he is an essential part of their team, and if they want to compete for the Stanley Cup in the upcoming years, they need to have him locked up.

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Morning Musings: Is there anything better than a Brian Burke interview?

Last night I had the privilege of watching Brian Burke's interview with James Duthie of TSN and it was anything but a letdown. When asked about his relationship with Kevin Lowe after the summer offer sheet he gave to Dustin Penner, Burke responded, "If I had run my team into the sewer like that I wouldn't throw a grenade at the other 29 teams and my own indirectly." All I can say about that comment is WOW. Burke even went on to say that he wouldn't speak with Kevin Lowe even if he coveted one of his players in a trade; rather, he would have his assistant GM Bob Murray make that call. I am still wondering if the best part of the interview was Burke going off like that or James Duthie's "okay" response as you could see the anchor was in shock by what had just been said. Either way, it makes for good television.

I know Burke gets his fair share of criticism but, to be honest, I'm still not sure why. He does a tremendous job of building teams and fan bases as Eric Duhatschek points out in the Globe and Mail. Additionally, he gives his frank opinion on issues. In my mind that is a breath of fresh air. In this particular interview, Duthie asked Burke a question and regardless of your opinion on his response, you can't argue with the fact that he was being honest. Straight shooters are more rare in the game today than they were, say, twenty years ago and in my humble opinion, the NHL needs more personalities like Brian Burke.

On to the morning papers:

For Illegal Curve, I'm Richard Pollock.

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Tuesday, October 2, 2007

Sens re-open negociations with Heatley


Only 18 more hours until the season begins

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Thursday, September 27, 2007

Tonights Linkage

Tonights Links

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Morning Musings

There will not be a preamble today because I am running a little late. The usual format will return tomorrow morning.

On to the morning papers:

For Illegal Curve, I'm Richard Pollock.

Ballhype: hype it up!

Thursday, September 13, 2007

Fantasy Watch: Who to draft at #2?

With Sidney Crosby being the unanimous number one pick, the next question that arises is 'who's going to go number two?' Unfortunately, having the number two pick is no easy task; luckily there are several players worthy of that particular selection. So instead of killing yourself over not getting the first overall pick, recognize that the scoring race was determined by only six points last year, and that the latter rounds of your draft are often most important.

F Alexander Ovechkin, Washington Capitals

Although Ovechkin's totals were down from a year ago, the former rookie of the year finished with very respectable numbers, scoring 46 goals and 46 assists. Losing linemate Dainius Zubrus at the trade deadline clearly affected Ovechkin's play, as his point per game average slipped considerably over the last few months of the season. With no true center on the team, the Capitals went out and signed free agent Michael Nylander, who helped Jaromir Jagr eclipse 120 points two seasons ago in New York.
With Nylander firmly entrenched in the middle, look for Ovechkin's point totals to see a significant increase.
Bottom Line: Aside from the past two years, Nylander has had trouble staying healthy, completing an 82 game season only twice in his career. If Nylander can stay healthy all year, then the sky is the limit for Ovechkin, but if he goes down, expect Alex the Gr8 to finish the season below expectations of a #2 pick.

F Joe Thornton, San Jose Sharks

Finishing his first full year in San Jose with 114 points, Thornton returns to the Sharks with a new contract and most of his linemates back (sans Mark Bell). Projected to play with Cheechoo again, there should be no reason why Thornton won't reach last year’s totals. Although Cheechoo struggled to begin the season, he managed to get it together and finished the year with 37 goals, improving Thornton's totals along the way.
Bottom Line: With San Jose's main nucleolus back for another year, Thornton should have no trouble recreating last year's success, making him one of, if not the safest pick at #2.

F Vincent Lecavalier, Tampa Bay Lightning

Lecavalier broke out last year recording career highs in goals, assists and points. It was quite an outburst for Vinny as his previous career high in points was only 75. With the big three, Lecavalier, St. Louis and Richards, intact for at least one more year, the former first overall selection should have no trouble surpassing 100 points in 2007/08.
Bottom Line: With only one 100+ point season under his belt and the thought of having to pass up on Thornton, Lecavalier falls between the 3rd and 4th pick this year.

F Dany Heatley, Ottawa Senators

Appearing in all 82 games for the second straight season, Heatley finished with a career high of 105 points. Having made no major transactions, Ottawa enters the season with the same core, which should result in Heatley playing on a line, once again, with Alfredsson and Spezza. Assuming everything remains intact; Heatley should exceed 100 points for the third straight year.
Bottom Line: After having almost identical seasons for the past two years, it’s pretty clear what you're going to get with Heatley. With his third year in Ottawa about to begin, only expect a slight increase in scoring, if at all.

For Illegal Curve, I’m Jonny Remis.

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Monday, September 10, 2007

Morning Musings: Did the Sens do enough this off-season?

After bowing out to the Ducks four games-to-one in the Stanley Cup finals, questions were abound whether the Senators would able to sustain another run to the finals in 2008. Senators' managment, led by former head coach Bryan Murray, remained largely inactive over the summer, and some believe management's inability to address the lack of team toughness and secondary scoring will, once again, be the Senators downfall.

Here are five questions many have about the 2007/08 version of the Ottawa Senators:

Is John Paddock capable of filling Bryan Murray's shoes?

Paddock has paid his dues in the minors since his days in Winnipeg coaching the Jets. His adjustment period shouldn't be very long considering Paddock's knowledge of the player personnel from his days as an Assistant Coach with the Senators and Head Coach in Binghamton. The guess here is that Paddock won't be much of a drop-off from Bryan Murray. As long as he lets his stars play, the team will comfortably be in the top four of the Eastern Conference standings.

Do the Senators lack secondary scoring?

In a word: yes. However, they lacked secondary scoring last season too and came within a series of hoisting Lord Stanley's Cup. After Heatley, Spezza and Alfredsson the goal scoring falls off significantly. This was the downfall of the Senators when they had to match up against the Ducks and their top defensive pair that included either Pronger, Niedermayer or both. One reason that the Senators' secondary scoring wasn't an issue in the first three rounds is because they didn't come up against a top defensive pairing; therefore, the team's top line of Spezza/Heatley/Alredsson could abuse lesser defensive pairings. Once the Ducks threw Pronger/Niedermayer at them, the top unit had difficulty creating offense, and were broken up on multiple occasions. If the Sens don't address their lack of scoring depth, they will be hard pressed to repeat as the Eastern Conference champions.

Will the team miss Schaeffer, Preissing and Comrie?

Not really. Schaeffer has a reputation as a strong player along the boards, and while there is merit to that point, he lacks the necessary scoring touch to justify playing on one of the top two scoring lines of a contending team. Additionally, his play during the latter part of the playoffs left much to be desired.

Preissing had a terrific regular season, and took advantage of that impressive play by signing a nice contract in Los Angeles. The diminutive defenseman gave Ottawa some great mobility on the back-end and consistently led the breakout with a good first pass. Nonetheless, the Sens are probably the deepest team on the back end in the entire league and Preissing was really playing third unit duty during the 2007 playoffs. The former Shark will not be difficult to replace.

Comrie was mostly ineffective during his stay short stay with the Sens and when he wasn't scoring, which was often, he wasn't contributing much else. Comrie will hardly be missed in the Nation's Capital.

Is Ray Emery the real deal?

Ray Emery is not in the class of Luongo, Brodeur, Kiprusoff or Lundqvist but he doesn't have to be. He slots in solidly behind the top tier of goaltenders in the NHL. The big backstop benefits from plenty of goals up front and a defense that is terrific at keeping teams to the outside and getting in passing/shooting lanes. In the unlikely event that Emery falters, the team has Martin Gerber there to back him up. Fans should count on Emery for 40 wins and a respectable G.A.A. in 2007/08.

Can the Senators make it back to the finals?

Sure they can; however, their road to get there became a lot more difficult with the additions of Gomez and Drury in NYC and the Penguins adding a nice mix of veterans to go along with their bundles of young talent up front. Overall, these should be the three teams that compete for Eastern representation in the Cup finals. Although, it says here that the Senators will not return to play for Lord Stanley's mug in June 2008.

On to the morning papers:

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