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Thursday, December 13, 2007

FROZEN ASSETS


Second Best In the West?

Odds on the Western Conference Teams to Win the Cup

Welcome to Frozen Assets. Last week we examined the odds on teams in the Eastern Conference to win the Stanley Cup. This week, for each Western Conference team, I have compiled their starting odds to win the Stanley Cup (as of Oct. 11 Frozen Assets), highest odds, and best current odds.

Team.................................Oct 11..............Highest......Date........Current

Anaheim Ducks.................+1000..............+1400.......Nov. 8....+1050
..........................................
Wagerstreet........Betfair.......................5dimes


Calgary Flames..................+2600.............+4900.......Dec. 8.......+4300 ..........................................Betfair.................. Betfair....................Betfair



Chicago Blackhawks........+15000...............+15000....Oct. 17...+5400
...........................................Canbet
................Canbet.....................Betfair


Colorado Avalanche..........+2200..............+3900.........Oct. 27...+2700
..........................................
5dimes..................Betfair..................Betfair



Columbus Blue Jackets.....+15000..............+15000.......Oct 25..+10000
..........................................
Canbet..................Canbet..................Carib



Dallas Stars.......................+3300..................+4400........Nov. 29...+3000
..........................................William Hill
............Betfair..................Centrebet


Detroit Red Wings...........+1015................+1015.......Nov. 10......+540
..........................................
The Greek..........The Greek................Betfair


Edmonton Oilers..............+7500.................
+21000....Nov. 30.....+15000
.........................................
5dimes.................Betfair......................Centrebet


Los Angeles Kings..........+8000.................+20000......Now........+20000
......................................
.William Hill.............Carib.......................Carib



Minnesota Wild...............+3300...................+3700.......Dec. 4.....+2400
........................................
.William Hill...........Betfair...............Betfair


Nashville Predators..........+3900.................+10000......Nov. 26...+6600
......................................
.....Betfair..................Carib..................WSEX



Phoenix Coyotes...........+25000.................+25000.....Oct. 28..+20000
........................................
.Canbet..................Betfair...............Bet365


St. Louis Blues...............+8900.................+10000.......Dec. 1...+6000
.........................................Betfair.................Betfair.................Betfair


San Jose Sharks.
.............+1650.................+1900.......Oct. 20...+1400
........................................
.Betfair................Betfair.................Centrebet


Vancouver Canucks........+2000................+3900.......Nov. 16...+2200
..........................................Stan James........Betfair................Stan James



Last week, knowledgeable reader, I asked you two questions. First, at what point in the season does a team's record reflect their probability to win the Stanley Cup? Second, if that point is right now, then based on the odds I've posted today where is the value?

Seven points separate second place and thirteenth place in the Western Conference. If you don't have any long-shot futures on Chicago, Columbus, St. Louis, or Nashville, don't worry! There will be plenty of opportunities throughout the season to find value.

Teams to watch:

Though Columbus has cooled down lately, they play 11 of 14 at home and yesterday finished a 5-game homestand 2-1-2. The Blue Jackets are available at +10000 at Carib to win the Stanley Cup.

St. Louis has the third best points-per-game in the Conference. The health of goaltender Manny Legace, however, is a concern. The Blues are available at +6000 at Centrebet

Watch out for Calgary. Out of a playoff spot with an six-game road trip looming a few days ago, key wins in Chicago and Florida have them back to .500. If they can pick up a few more wins on their trip Calgary could find themselves in a playoff spot when they get home. The Flames are available at +4300 at betfair.

For illegal curve, I'm Ari Baum-Cohen

About the writer: Ari-Baum Cohen's first sports betting victory came at age 8 when he won his father's office pool. He screamed like a 14 year-old girl at a Justin Timberlake concert when Tampa Bay (had at +3500 to win Cup) and Calgary (had at +15000 to win Cup) made the Stanley Cup finals.

FROZEN ASSETS December 7, 2007
FROZEN ASSETS November 29, 2007
FROZEN ASSETS November 22, 2007
FROZEN ASSETS November 15, 2007
FROZEN ASSETS November 9, 2007
FROZEN ASSETS November 1, 2007
FROZEN ASSETS October 25, 2007
FROZEN ASSETS October 18, 2007
FROZEN ASSETS October, 11, 2007
FROZEN ASSETS October 4, 2007
FROZEN ASSETS September 27, 2007
FROZEN ASSETS September 20, 2007

Ballhype: hype it up!

2 comments:

Stevens8204 said...

I am surprised that Detroit is that much of a prohibitive favorite given their postseason lack of success in the last 4 seasons.

Ari Baum-Cohen said...

I agree stevens. No team in the NHL is worth +520. There are too many upsets in the playoffs (as Detroit has experienced for the last few seasons).

On the other hand, they are the only team to separate themselves from everyone else. All other teams, including Ottawa, have looked vulnerable.

I am looking forward to Red Wings (1) vs. Blackhawks (8) in the first round of the playoffs.